| TRAD. JOB OPS. RARE
Work isn't work the way it used to be. In California,
the trendsetter in so many things work related, only one-third of workers
have "traditional jobs" -- defined as single, permanent full-time day-shift
work paid for by an employer at the employer's site. And only 22 percent
have been doing this type of work for more than three years. What are the
rest of the workers up to? About 12 percent hold more than one job and
about 33 percent work more than 45 hours per week.
Most California workers are moving on up -- 40 percent
have been in their current position for three years or less; in the past
year 59 percent have received a raise. But it's not a rosy picture for
everyone -- 20 percent of workers have been laid off in the past three
years.
Economists are watching the California situation carefully
-- it's the heart of the New Economy, and trends there can be harbingers
of things to come for the rest of the country.
BLESS OUR HOUSE(S)
Two homes are better than one? The roaring economy has
led to a housing boom -- more than 60 percent of households are homeowners--
an all-time high. But there's another housing boom going on as well --
13 percent of home sales in 1999 were for second homes, an increase of
five percentage points from 1996.
Second homes are being bought by mid- and late-career
baby boomers who are looking forward to retirement. The homes are most
likely to be in seaside or mountain areas such as Honolulu, Hawaii; Big
Bear Lake, California; Captiva, Florida and Lake Tahoe, Nevada/ California
-- good places to retire. The median price of a second home in 1999 was
$92,000, an increase of 19 percent from 1996.
About one-third of second homes (38 percent) were bought
without a mortgage, meaning that purchasers paid cash -- that's unusual
for first home purchases, but not an impossibility for well-heeled, older
boomers |
who have decided to have a mortgage-free retirement.
There may be a housing glut in a couple of years as these boomers make
their "home away from home" their only home.
ANOTHER YEAR OLDER AND DEEPER IN DEBT
Household debt grows. While some wealthy pre-retirement
boomers are paying cash for their second houses the rest of the nation
is up to its ears in debt. You can use your credit card for just about
anything these days -- to pay for groceries, to pay your utility bill,
to pay your phone bill -- even to pay your income taxes. And Americans
are doing just that. According to the Federal Reserve, household borrowing
has risen almost 60 percent over the past five years, to $6.5 trillion.
While some may wonder what all the concern is about -- after all, available
credit, like so many other things, is considered a symbol of having arrived
-- "if you got it, flaunt it!" But what is happening is that people in
the weakest credit position tend to carry the biggest burden of debt, at
least percentage-wise. If the economy crashes, they will crash big time.
And that could be a problem, in an unnerving, domino-effect sort of way.
In the current environment, people with bad credit histories
and those with low incomes -- people who used to find it hard to borrow
money -- are finding it easier than ever to get plastic or even a mortgage.
And those with moderate incomes are potentially risking their futures by
taking advantage of an easy second mortgage or home equity loan atmosphere.
But optimists feel that the US is a safe place in which to be in debt --
we are borrowing more money because there is more money to borrow. And
as long as the balance remains tipped in favor of the borrower, the plastic
revolution will continue. |